2050 is far enough off to imagine the urban environment will be very
different from today. But, from current trends, we know a few things are
likely. Three-quarters of people will live in a city, or 6.75 billion
of the projected 9 billion global total. Everyone will have grown up
with the Internet, and its successors. And city residents will have
access to less natural resources than today, making regeneration and
efficiency more of a priority.
Based on this, and extrapolating out some emerging ideas, the engineering and design firm Arup has come up with this mock-up of
the building of the future. As you can see, it has its own energy
systems ("micro-wind," "solar PV paint," and "algae facade" for
producing biofuels). There is an integrated layer for meat, poultry,
fish, and vegetable farming; a "building membrane" to convert CO2 to
oxygen; heat recovery surfaces; materials that phase change and repair
themselves; seamless integration with the rest of the city; and much
else.
Arup points to five main attributes: flexibility, sustainability,
reactivity, community integration, and smart systems (including
automated recycling). The building has a "dynamic network of feedback
loops characterized by smart materials, sensors, data exchange, and
automated systems that merge together, virtually functioning as a
synthetic and highly sensitive nervous system," it says.
Most futuristic of all, the structure is completely modular, and
designed to be shifted about (using robots, of course). The building has
three layer types, with different life-spans: a permanent layer at the
bottom, a 10- to 20-year layer (which includes the "facade and primary
fit-out walls, finishes, or on-floor mechanical plant.") And a third
layer that can incorporate rapid changes, such as new IT equipment.
The building of the future meets personal needs--"down to an
individual’s genetic composition"; gathers information from the
environment; and "reacts to contextual clues." Introducing the design,
Arup’s Josef Hargrave describes it as "able to make informed and
calculated decisions based on their surrounding environment", a "living
and breathing" structure "able to support the cities and people of
tomorrow.”
Maybe the future isn’t so bad, after all.
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